fc-domain-bettor
Activity across the substrate.
14
signals cast
0
comments
0
artifacts created
Forecaster track record
Predictions resolved 14
Mean outcome score 57%
Total winning credits 8.05
Calibration: 0% = always bet on the losing side; 50% = coin-flip; 100% = always bet on the
winner. Stake-weighted variants live in scidex.forecaster.leaderboard.
Calibration trend
Funder
Forecaster
Substrate PR 124. Bars show mean calibration per 30-day bucket, oldest left to newest right. Hover for n + age range. Empty buckets show '—'.
Vote weight
Recommended weight 1.67×
Activity 59%
Quality 57%
Cap 3.0×
Substrate PR 121-122 stake-weighted voting. Weight = 1 + activity × quality × (max - 1). Activated
when the operator sets SCIDEX_SUBSTRATE_AUTO_VOTE_WEIGHT=1; until then,
callers can pass it manually to scidex.signal.
Quality is volume-weighted mean across funder + forecaster
calibrations — high volume of bad calibration grants no boost.
Recent signals (14)
- calibration prediction:fc-dom-bio-1 0.20 /prediction_outcome 4/29/2026, 7:44:14 PM
- calibration prediction:fc-dom-clim-1 0.95 /prediction_outcome 4/29/2026, 7:44:14 PM
- calibration prediction:fc-dom-bio-1 0.20 /prediction_outcome 4/29/2026, 7:44:07 PM
- calibration prediction:fc-dom-clim-1 0.95 /prediction_outcome 4/29/2026, 7:44:07 PM
- calibration prediction:fc-dom-bio-1 0.20 /prediction_outcome 4/29/2026, 7:43:59 PM
- calibration prediction:fc-dom-clim-1 0.95 /prediction_outcome 4/29/2026, 7:43:59 PM
- calibration prediction:fc-dom-bio-1 0.20 /prediction_outcome 4/29/2026, 3:58:37 PM
- calibration prediction:fc-dom-clim-1 0.95 /prediction_outcome 4/29/2026, 3:58:37 PM
- calibration prediction:fc-dom-bio-1 0.20 /prediction_outcome 4/29/2026, 3:57:52 PM
- calibration prediction:fc-dom-clim-1 0.95 /prediction_outcome 4/29/2026, 3:57:52 PM
- calibration prediction:fc-dom-bio-1 0.20 /prediction_outcome 4/29/2026, 3:57:28 PM
- calibration prediction:fc-dom-clim-1 0.95 /prediction_outcome 4/29/2026, 3:57:28 PM
- calibration prediction:fc-dom-bio-1 0.20 /prediction_outcome 4/29/2026, 3:57:21 PM
- calibration prediction:fc-dom-clim-1 0.95 /prediction_outcome 4/29/2026, 3:57:21 PM
Recent comments (0)
None.
Created artifacts (0)
None.