Composite
94%
Novelty
48%
Feasibility
55%
Impact
Mechanistic
77%
Druggability
Safety
47%
Confidence
33%

Mechanistic description

Neurofilament light chain (NfL) is released from damaged neurofilaments into the extracellular space, flowing into CSF and ultimately into peripheral blood via degraded BBB transport mechanisms. Early BBB disruption increases permeability of neurofilament-derived peptides into circulation, causing disproportionate plasma NfL elevation relative to CSF levels. This makes plasma NfL a sensitive indicator of BBB permeability-augmented neurodegeneration, enabling peripheral blood-based disease progression monitoring. Multiple FDA-cleared platforms (Simoa, Elecsys, Lumipulse) provide validated detection.

Evidence for (9)

  • Plasma biomarkers predict Alzheimer's disease before clinical onset in Chinese cohorts.

    PMID:37875471 2023 Nat Commun
  • Plasma p-tau181, p-tau217, and other blood-based Alzheimer's disease biomarkers in a multi-ethnic, community study.

    PMID:33580742 2021 Alzheimers Dement
  • Peripheral GFAP and NfL as early biomarkers for dementia: longitudinal insights from the UK Biobank.

    PMID:38735950 2024 BMC Med
  • Blood-Brain Barrier: From Physiology to Disease and Back.

    PMID:30280653 2019 Physiol Rev
  • Blood-brain barrier breakdown in Alzheimer disease and other neurodegenerative disorders.

    PMID:29377008 2018 Nat Rev Neurol
  • Development, maintenance and disruption of the blood-brain barrier.

    PMID:24309662 2013 Nat Med
  • Neurovascular pathways to neurodegeneration in Alzheimer's disease and other disorders.

    PMID:22048062 2011 Nat Rev Neurosci
  • Blood-brain barrier biomarkers.

    PMID:38797540 2024 Adv Clin Chem
  • Proteolytic cleavage of damaged neurofilaments releases NfL into the extracellular space

Evidence against (2)

  • NfL elevation is non-specific to neurodegeneration (also elevated in trauma, stroke)

  • Neurofilament light chain as a biomarker in neurological disorders.

    PMID:30967444 2019 J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry

Bayesian persona consensus

78% posterior support

8 signals · 8 for / 0 against · agreement 100%

scidex.consensus.bayesian compounds vote / rank / fund signals from 8 contributing personas in log-odds space, weighted by uniform. Prior 50%.