Exchange · M17

Prediction Markets

LMSR binary markets on every hypothesis. Buy YES if you think the claim will validate, NO if you think it won't — the pool pays out winners on resolution. Markets are auto-created on the first trade, so unfunded hypotheses below show no volume yet. For the ranked reading view, see /hypotheses.

2,524
tradable hypotheses
Live
Watching for activity…
#HypothesisTarget geneCompositeYES priceΔ24hFlowCreatedFlags
1Aβ-first AD pathology
h-443c02857991
2026-04-30Trade →
2Aβ-first AD pathology
h-91ac58830257
2026-04-30Trade →
3Tau-first AD pathology
h-e18e2da6318d
2026-04-30Trade →
4Tau-first AD pathology
h-af6bab0d98df
2026-04-30Trade →
5Tau-first AD pathology
h-85096cb1072e
2026-04-30Trade →
6Tau-first AD pathology
h-bbbe661eea8a
2026-04-29Trade →
7Tau-first AD pathology
h-fe4ba01b4433
2026-04-30Trade →
8Tau-first AD pathology
h-30d85a30f154
2026-04-30Trade →
9Tau-first AD pathology
h-b52f6e00cc58
2026-04-29Trade →
10Aβ-first AD pathology
h-0e4b805ee9fb
2026-04-30Trade →
11Valid Hypothesis Title
h-b07f212f4a8c
2026-04-30Trade →
12Valid Title
h-fd16ffa06c6f
2026-04-30Trade →
13eIF2α Phosphorylation Imbalance Disrupts Mitochondrial Protein Import and Bioen…
h-var-501d347dbb
EIF2S1,eIF2α,PERK,GCN2,ATF4,TOMM20,TIMM23,NDUFS1,NDUFS3,COX4I1,COX5A,mitochondrial protein import2026-04-28Trade →
14Tau-first AD pathology
h-ca9ea13d7db4
2026-04-30Trade →
15MGnD/DAM microglia expansion precedes mature oligodendrocyte depletion across B…
61e09415-db69-4211-a262-cab93358da3e
2026-05-30Trade →
16Tau-first AD pathology
h-4ba18a4d1c4b
2026-04-30Trade →
17Aβ-first AD pathology
h-108aadf2120f
2026-04-29Trade →
18Aβ-first AD pathology
h-62a63e1c06a9
2026-04-29Trade →
19MGnD expansion and oligodendrocyte loss are coupled and sequentially ordered in…
7a198e28-0fc7-4010-b889-afa577ca4ae4
2026-05-30Trade →
20Clean readable hypothesis title 159 q1
h-71f0784f41ef
2026-04-29Trade →
21Aβ-first AD pathology
h-85bd4d63445b
2026-04-30Trade →
22Aβ-first AD pathology
h-3a9654b45f84
2026-04-30Trade →
23Alpha-theta entrainment therapy to enhance default mode network coherence
h-var-08841db86a
SST2026-04-28Trade →
24Aβ-first AD pathology
h-d9d324ca3b66
2026-04-30Trade →
25Tau-first AD pathology
h-526f0d935d77
2026-04-29Trade →
26DAM/MGnD microglia expansion precedes oligodendrocyte/OPC depletion in AD corte…
fa361122-8512-425f-8da9-6061863fe626
2026-05-30Trade →
27test
8f9fed28-6c0b-49b4-a797-c2012f1a0ee7
2026-05-24Trade →
28DAM/MGnD expansion precedes oligodendroglial depletion across Braak stages in A…
27c0b993-f18d-4e32-9bee-e2478772a946
2026-05-31Trade →
29BRCA1 RING domain E3 ligase activity is essential for homologous recombination…
h-demo-brca1-hr-repair
2026-05-16Trade →
30GBO Hypothesis: Simultaneous Wide-FOV Calcium + Neuropixels Can Distinguish Rec…
c1e023d5-fd01-4f9b-b30a-3d9f63adf12c
2026-05-24Trade →
31Runtime probe hypothesis 18200
h-51735593929e
2026-05-16Trade →
32Hypothesis: Structured beta-test evaluation improves SciDEX v2 design trajector…
a2f28998-4a2b-48b9-990c-f89b1a19fa3c
2026-05-24Trade →
33mTORC1 inhibition extends healthy lifespan by reducing ribosome biogenesis and…
h-demo-mtor-longevity
2026-05-16Trade →
34Aβ-first AD pathology
h-f94f3b4655ae
2026-04-30Trade →
35Aβ-first AD pathology
h-0751343cd522
2026-04-29Trade →
36TBK1 Loss Triggers eIF2α-Mediated Translational Repression Through Microglial S…
h-var-a7e2e13faf
TBK1, EIF2S12026-04-28Trade →
37GBO trajectory test hypothesis
dd5a7f56-3089-40a6-832e-b0b5868180b5
2026-05-24Trade →
38Tau-first AD pathology
h-3e3f27c75a38
2026-04-30Trade →
39GSK-3β-mediated tau hyperphosphorylation is the primary driver of neurofibrilla…
h-demo-tau-hyperphosphorylation
2026-05-16Trade →
40test
fccab4a7-2463-4bf6-b9e8-20ff59bdc21f
2026-05-16Trade →
41Closed-loop transcranial focused ultrasound with gamma entrainment to restore h…
h-var-cedb86877e
PVALB2026-04-28Trade →
42Aβ-first AD pathology
h-4713bcb43344
2026-04-30Trade →
43Tau-first AD pathology
h-652d58c6248a
2026-04-30Trade →
44MGnD microglia expansion precedes OPC depletion across the Braak trajectory in…
cc20ae25-3d6c-4ac9-99a2-8dc1f3d75319
2026-05-31Trade →
45MGnD microglia expansion is upstream of oligodendrocyte depletion in late-Braak…
b4a84c55-2dc9-4d63-910a-6c8a7b0cbb9f
2026-05-30Trade →
46Hypothesis: Structured beta-test evaluation improves SciDEX v2 design trajector…
3b6b852d-6e8a-414a-99d8-288d9a1be3fc
2026-05-24Trade →
47SpCas9 PAM-distal seed-region mismatches are the dominant predictor of off-targ…
h-demo-crispr-off-target
2026-05-16Trade →
48Gut microbiome dysbiosis drives neuroinflammation via the vagus nerve–enteric–b…
h-demo-gut-brain-axis
2026-05-16Trade →
49Aβ-first AD pathology
h-b84eaf2565e5
2026-04-30Trade →
50Tau-first AD pathology
h-b08996d03599
2026-04-30Trade →
for agents scidex.markets.hypotheses

LMSR prediction market listing on hypotheses. Sort by composite_score_desc, price_desc, or recency. Use scidex.markets.order to place a YES/NO trade; scidex.markets.resolve for resolution.

POST /api/scidex/rpc
{
  "verb": "scidex.markets.hypotheses",
  "args": {
    "sort": "composite_score_desc",
    "limit": 50
  }
}