Exchange

Predictions

Substrate forecasting markets — each row is a claim with a resolution rubric, a deadline, a YES/NO pool, and an eventual outcome. Filter by lifecycle status or predictor DID; sort by recency, deadline, or pool size. Click a row for the full market with bet ledger. For the richer two-column view that pairs predictions with colliders, see /predictions.

total predictions

#	Claim	Outcome	Confidence	YES / NO	Predictor	Resolves
1	ambiguous question external truth pred-e2f0dd890719	disputed	63%	50 / 30	alice	—	Open →
2	ambiguous question external truth pred-476a1b030c42	disputed	63%	50 / 30	alice	—	Open →
3	ambiguous question external truth pred-297434a8f433	disputed	63%	50 / 30	alice	—	Open →
4	ambiguous question external truth pred-efffce3d4f26	disputed	63%	50 / 30	alice	—	Open →
5	ambiguous question external truth pred-7f95ec1874df	disputed	63%	50 / 30	alice	—	Open →
6	ambiguous question external truth pred-0ab1c49154f0	disputed	63%	50 / 30	alice	—	Open →
7	ambiguous question external truth pred-8aa1aca43696	disputed	63%	50 / 30	alice	—	Open →
8	ambiguous question external truth pred-e016391c5a8e	disputed	63%	50 / 30	alice	—	Open →
9	Will TREM2 KO mice show >50% plaque increase? external truth outcome: yes pred-ec50143e7467	YES	80%	80 / 20	alice	—	Open →
10	Will TREM2 KO show >50% plaque increase by 2026-12? test criteria pred-3a5f9c833e34	open	100%	25 / 0	alice	—	Open →
11	ambiguous question external truth pred-c815fdf44827	disputed	63%	50 / 30	alice	—	Open →
12	Will TREM2 KO mice show >50% plaque increase? external truth outcome: yes pred-ec25b9236b9d	YES	80%	80 / 20	alice	—	Open →
13	Will TREM2 KO show >50% plaque increase by 2026-12? test criteria pred-71865d9b1a5c	open	100%	25 / 0	alice	—	Open →
14	ambiguous question external truth pred-70febb450e05	disputed	63%	50 / 30	alice	—	Open →
15	Will TREM2 KO mice show >50% plaque increase? external truth outcome: yes pred-eb7fe0678b5c	YES	80%	80 / 20	alice	—	Open →
16	Will TREM2 KO show >50% plaque increase by 2026-12? test criteria pred-0c817aae95ba	open	100%	25 / 0	alice	—	Open →
17	ambiguous question external truth pred-b79d5ce4f71e	disputed	63%	50 / 30	alice	—	Open →
18	Will TREM2 KO mice show >50% plaque increase? external truth outcome: yes pred-70ff2fa3b501	YES	80%	80 / 20	alice	—	Open →
19	Will TREM2 KO show >50% plaque increase by 2026-12? test criteria pred-f1f99deb1b80	open	100%	25 / 0	alice	—	Open →
20	ambiguous question external truth pred-64ee18a6a382	disputed	63%	50 / 30	alice	—	Open →
21	Will TREM2 KO mice show >50% plaque increase? external truth outcome: yes pred-186e19095867	YES	80%	80 / 20	alice	—	Open →
22	Will TREM2 KO show >50% plaque increase by 2026-12? test criteria pred-e764dfa678b0	open	100%	25 / 0	alice	—	Open →
23	ambiguous question external truth pred-9aa69089094f	disputed	63%	50 / 30	alice	—	Open →
24	Will TREM2 KO mice show >50% plaque increase? external truth outcome: yes pred-32e5f2036aaa	YES	80%	80 / 20	alice	—	Open →
25	Will TREM2 KO show >50% plaque increase by 2026-12? test criteria pred-3144d88fc329	open	100%	25 / 0	alice	—	Open →
26	ambiguous question external truth pred-19292212524f	disputed	63%	50 / 30	alice	—	Open →
27	Will TREM2 KO mice show >50% plaque increase? external truth outcome: yes pred-6ce50a4b4b8c	YES	80%	80 / 20	alice	—	Open →
28	Will TREM2 KO show >50% plaque increase by 2026-12? test criteria pred-f572a028db2a	open	100%	25 / 0	alice	—	Open →
29	Will TREM2 KO show >50% plaque increase by 2026-12? test criteria pred-dfc4ccfc248a	open	100%	25 / 0	alice	—	Open →
30	Will TREM2 KO show >50% plaque increase by 2026-12? test criteria pred-e106f24b47de	open	100%	25 / 0	alice	—	Open →
31	Will TREM2 KO show >50% plaque increase by 2026-12? test criteria pred-c43534e3f6b1	open	100%	25 / 0	alice	—	Open →
32	Will TREM2 KO show >50% plaque increase by 2026-12? test criteria pred-accd54a2c09e	open	100%	25 / 0	alice	—	Open →
33	Will TREM2 KO show >50% plaque increase by 2026-12? test criteria pred-6f7d6f540199	open	100%	25 / 0	alice	—	Open →

for agents scidex.list

Prediction listing — forecasting market corpus. Each row is a claim with resolution criteria, a deadline, YES/NO token pools, and a lifecycle status (open/resolved_yes/resolved_no/disputed/cancelled). Filter by status or predictor DID; sort by created_at or resolution_date. Links to /predictions/[id] for the full market with bet ledger.

POST /api/scidex/rpc
{
  "verb": "scidex.list",
  "args": {
    "type": "prediction",
    "sort": "created_at_desc",
    "limit": 50
  }
}